機(jī)器人將"占領(lǐng)"東亞制造業(yè)

Robots will replace a growing number of jobs inindustries including automotive and electronics in thenext few years, particularly in east Asia, according tonew research.

一項(xiàng)新研究顯示，未來(lái)幾年，機(jī)器人將取代自動(dòng)化和電子產(chǎn)品等行業(yè)越來(lái)越多的工作崗位，尤其是在東亞地區(qū)。

Worldwide sales of industrial robots rose 23 per centlast year and are on course to double by 2018,driving radical change in many manufacturingsectors, Boston Consulting Group said.

波士頓咨詢集團(tuán)(BCG)表示，全球工業(yè)機(jī)器人銷量去年增長(zhǎng)23%，到2018年將翻一番，這將令很多制造業(yè)領(lǐng)域發(fā)生徹底變革。

 

 

Although robots have been used in industry for decades, recent advances in technology havecut their costs and increased their capabilities, as a new generation of reprogrammable,multipurpose machines comes into service.

盡管機(jī)器人在工業(yè)中的使用已有幾十年時(shí)間，但最近科技的進(jìn)步降低了機(jī)器人成本并提升了其性能，此際新一代可再編程的多用途機(jī)器人正投入使用。

The prices of industrial robots have been falling steadily, dropping about 14 per cent in the pastfour years to $133,000 for a typical system, while capabilities have been expanding.

工業(yè)機(jī)器人的價(jià)格一直在穩(wěn)步下降，過(guò)去4年已累計(jì)下跌14%左右，至13.3萬(wàn)美元，同時(shí)性能一直在提升。

Some robots are even cheaper: the Baxter robot from Rethink Robotics has a listed base priceof $25,000, making it accessible to smaller companies that might have found it difficult toinvest in earlier generations.

一些機(jī)器人的價(jià)格甚至更低： Rethink Robotics的Baxter機(jī)器人基礎(chǔ)定價(jià)為2.5萬(wàn)美元，讓那些可能很難投資于之前幾代機(jī)器人的較小公司也能買得起。

Five countries — China, the US, Japan, Germany and South Korea — are expected to accountfor about 80 per cent of investment in industrial robots over the coming decade.

預(yù)計(jì)中國(guó)、美國(guó)、日本、德國(guó)和韓國(guó)5國(guó)將占到未來(lái)10年工業(yè)機(jī)器人投資的80%左右。

Advanced robots are set to cut costs and raise productivity, reducing employment inmanufacturing in developed countries, while raising the skill levels demanded of the staff thatremain.

先進(jìn)的機(jī)器人旨在降低成本并提升生產(chǎn)率，從而減少發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家制造業(yè)就業(yè)，同時(shí)提高現(xiàn)有員工所需的技能水準(zhǔn)。

They are also likely to make labour costs a less significant factor for manufacturers makingdecisions about where to invest.

它們還可能會(huì)在制造商在做出投資目的地決定時(shí)，讓勞動(dòng)力成本的因素不那么重要。

About 200,000 industrial robots were shipped last year, BCG estimates, up from 163,000 in2013, and in three years' time the number could rise to 400,000.

BCG估計(jì)，去年工業(yè)機(jī)器人銷量達(dá)到20萬(wàn)臺(tái)左右，高于2013年的16.3萬(wàn)臺(tái)，到2017年，這一數(shù)字可能會(huì)升至40萬(wàn)臺(tái)。

In the manufacturing sectors that are the most readily automated, including cars and othertransport equipment, computers and electronics and electrical equipment, about 85 per cent oftasks can be performed by robots, according to BCG.

在最容易實(shí)現(xiàn)自動(dòng)化的制造業(yè)(包括汽車和其他運(yùn)輸設(shè)備、電腦、電子產(chǎn)品和電器設(shè)備)，約85%的工作可能會(huì)由機(jī)器人完成。

Those sectors are likely to use the most robots over the coming decade, but other areas suchas chemicals and metals are also likely to see increasing adoption of the newer, more flexiblemachines.

未來(lái)幾十年，這些行業(yè)使用的機(jī)器人可能會(huì)最多，但化工和金屬等其他行業(yè)使用這種更為新穎靈活的機(jī)器的做法可能也會(huì)越來(lái)越多。

The uptake of industrial robots will vary between countries as well as between industries,depending on factors including wage costs and labour regulations that could limit employers’ability to replace workers with robots. BCG expects the fastest adoption will come in SouthKorea, Taiwan and Thailand, which have heavy concentrations of the industries that are capableof high levels of automation, higher labour costs than some of their low-wage competitors, andlimited employment protections that would prevent job cuts.

工業(yè)機(jī)器人的使用情況將會(huì)因國(guó)家和行業(yè)的不同而不同，這取決于很多因素，包括薪資成本以及勞動(dòng)力監(jiān)管規(guī)定——這些規(guī)定可能會(huì)限制雇主用機(jī)器人取代員工的能力。BCG預(yù)測(cè)，韓國(guó)、臺(tái)灣和泰國(guó)將是最快使用機(jī)器人的國(guó)家，這些國(guó)家擁有大量能夠?qū)崿F(xiàn)高度自動(dòng)化的行業(yè)，勞動(dòng)力成本高于一些低薪資競(jìng)爭(zhēng)國(guó)家，而且就業(yè)保護(hù)有限(就業(yè)保護(hù)將阻止裁員)。

Other relatively rapid adopters are expected to be China, Japan, the US, the UK and Canada.

預(yù)計(jì)其他使用工業(yè)機(jī)器人相對(duì)迅速的國(guó)家將是中國(guó)、日本、美國(guó)、英國(guó)和加拿大。

The countries likely to be slowest to embrace the new robots include more heavily regulatedeconomies of Europe including France, Italy and Spain, as well as Brazil and India, according toBCG.

BCG稱，最慢接納新一代機(jī)器人的國(guó)家可能是那些歐洲監(jiān)管較嚴(yán)的經(jīng)濟(jì)體，包括法國(guó)、意大利和西班牙等，還有巴西和印度。