美國精英的秘密恐懼

Almost 20 years ago, the columnist David Brooks caught the spirit of the age. His book Bobos in Paradise hailed the marriage between bohemian 1960s radicals and the money-chasing bourgeoisie of the 1980s. They had merged into the Clintons. In place of America’s Episcopalian elites came the meritocratic establishment. Anyone with talent could join. “From each according to his abilities, to each according to his abilities,” wrote Mr Brooks.

大約20年前，專欄作家戴維•布魯克斯(David Brooks)抓住了時代精神。他在《布波族：一個社會新階層的崛起》(Bobos in Paradise)一書中宣告了1960年代波西米亞激進分子和1980年代追逐金錢的布爾喬亞的結合。這種結合的代表就是克林頓夫婦(the Clintons)這樣的人。美國的圣公會派精英們已被重視真才實學的建制派所取代。任何有才之士都可以加入。“各盡所能，按能分配。”布魯克斯寫道。

This elite disliked glitzy consumption and lowbrow culture. Then, as now, Donald Trump topped the list of pariahs. His victory has strengthened and shattered their worldview. Beneath the conviction about Mr Trump’s wrongness lurks an angst that dare not speak its name. Mr Trump is a distraction from a reckoning that cannot be postponed forever.

這些精英不喜歡奢華消費和低俗文化。那時，就像現在一樣，唐納德•特朗普(Donald Trump)高居賤民名單榜首。他的勝利鞏固、也粉碎了他們的世界觀。在斷言特朗普錯了的背后，潛藏著一種不敢直接說出來的焦慮。特朗普將人們的注意力引開，讓人們暫時忘記了終極拷問這回事，但這件事不能無限期推遲。

What will America’s elites see when they look inwards? The first will be the shock of self-recognition. Bourgeois bohemians thought they could have it both ways: capital accumulation and moral certainty with no trade-offs. If you studied hard and earned merit, there was plenty of room at the top.

當美國的精英們審視自己的內心時，他們會看到什么?首先將是自我認知帶來的沖擊。布(爾喬亞)波(希米亞)族認為他們可以兼顧：既積累資本，又占據道德優(yōu)勢，什么都不犧牲。如果你努力學習，獲得了真才實學，社會頂層的位置多得很。

But there was a flaw in this thinking. America’s elites have stored more wealth than they can consume. This creates three problems for everyone else. First, elites invest their surpluses in replicating their advantages. Kids raised in poorer neighbourhoods with mediocre schools stand little chance. Their parents cannot match the social capital of their wealthier peers. The drawbridge is rising. The gap between the self image of meritocratic openness and reality is wide. Psychologists call this “self-discrepancy”. Economists call it barriers to entry.

但這種想法有一個缺陷。美國精英們積累了花不完的財富。這給其他人帶來了三個問題。首先，精英們把多余的財富投資于復制自己的優(yōu)勢。在學校一般的非富人區(qū)長大的孩子，幾乎沒有機會躋身精英階層。他們的父母不像富人那樣擁有雄厚的社會資本。吊橋在收起。精英主義開放的自我形象與現實之間的差距是巨大的。心理學家稱之為“自我差異”。經濟學家稱其為進入壁壘。

The second response to having such vast wealth is to create other kinds of scarcity. Since most people now have basic things — cars, smartphones and college education — material goods are no markers of success. Conspicuous consumption is played down. Scarce goods, such as an Ivy League degree or living in a neighbourhood where you do not need a car, are manically contested.

對擁有如此巨大財富的第二種反應，是創(chuàng)造其他種類的稀缺性。因為現在大多數人都擁有基本的物品——汽車、智能手機和大學教育——物質方面的東西不是成功的標志。炫耀性消費收斂了。人們激烈爭奪的是稀缺商品，比如常青藤大學(Ivy League)的學位或居住在你不需要汽車的社區(qū)。

So are cultural advantages. America’s elites preach the gospel of a so-called stem education — science, technology, engineering and maths. But that is for other people. Social capital is about knowing what to say to whom and when, which is a sophisticated skill. Technical learning is for others. Children of the elites are learning how to raise money for philanthropic causes. Economists define this as a positional good. Sociologists call it virtue signalling. Mr Trump calls it political correctness.

文化優(yōu)勢也是一種。美國精英們宣揚的信條是所謂科學、科技、工程及數學(英文首字母縮寫為STEM)教育。但那是給其他人的。社會資本體現在知道在何時對誰說什么——這是一門復雜的技藝。技能學習是留給別人的。精英們的孩子們在學習如何為慈善事業(yè)籌款。經濟學家將此定義為地位商品(positional good)。社會學家稱之為美德顯示(virtue signalling)。特朗普稱之為政治正確。

The third challenge is the hardest to fix. Since there is too much capital chasing too few investment opportunities — what Lawrence Summers, former US Treasury secretary, calls “secular stagnation” — today’s America is cursed by an educational arms race. The jobs available do not match the qualifications millennials are acquiring. There is nothing relaxing about being a member of today’s aspiring classes. Kids must study harder and for longer than their parents to find jobs that do not often repay the effort.

第三個挑戰(zhàn)是最難解決的。由于有太多的資本追逐太少的投資機會——美國前財長勞倫斯•薩默斯(Lawrence Summers)稱之為“長期性停滯”(secular stagnation)——如今，教育領域的“軍備競賽”成了美國難以擺脫的詛咒?，F有的工作崗位與千禧一代所獲得的文憑并不匹配。如今當一個成功人士階層的子弟一點兒也不輕松。孩子們必須比他們的父母花更長時間、更努力地學習，才能找到工作，而這些工作往往對不起他們付出的努力。

The children of the wealthiest do not need student loans and live off their parents’ capital. The rest are struggling to justify the expense. It is as though they were led up to the promised land at sundown. The ratio of effort to outcome is rising. The more people study, the lower the returns to education. You always need more credentials, which most cannot afford. Instead of capital, losers accumulate frustration.

最富有群體的孩子不需要學生貸款，而是靠父母的資本過活。其余的人則難以證明這高昂的投入是值得的。就好像他們在日落之時被領向應許之地。投入與產出的比例正在上升。學習的人越多，教育的回報就越低。你總是需要更多的文憑，這是大多數人都負擔不起的。輸家得到的是挫折感，而不是資本。

Which brings us back to Mr Trump. During the 2016 presidential election campaign, he said: “I love the poorly educated.” It seemed like a crass sentiment. But it appealed to many because it was the opposite of what other politicians would say. Mr Trump’s tweets betray his semi-literacy. He uses the word “their” when he means “there”. He talks of “unpresidented” when he means “unprecedented”. He uses quotation marks where they are not meant to “be”.

這把我們帶回到特朗普身上。在2016年總統(tǒng)競選期間，他說：“我熱愛沒怎么受教育的人。”這似乎是一種粗魯的情緒。但它吸引了很多人，因為這與其他政客的說法恰好相反。特朗普的推文暴露了他是個半文盲。他想說的是“there(在那里)”，寫的卻是“their(他/她/它們的)”。他想說的是“unprecedented(前所未有)”，寫的卻是“unpresidented(不總統(tǒng))”。他在不該“有”引號的地方打引號。

Mr Trump’s antics are a comfort blanket to the cognitive elites. He validates our moral superiority. Yet he eats away at it too. Somewhere in our bourgeois subconscious is the realisation that Mr Trump is no accident. He holds up a cracked mirror to our illusions. When we mock him, he draws strength. When he provokes, we stumble. Yet we cannot help ourselves. He is deeply outrageous.

特朗普那滑稽反常的舉止是知識精英們的一塊安撫巾(comfort blanket)。他證實了我們的道德優(yōu)越感。但他也侵蝕了這種道德優(yōu)越感。在我們布爾喬亞潛意識中的某個地方，我們意識到特朗普并非偶然。他舉著一面破碎的鏡子，照出了我們的幻覺。當我們嘲笑他時，他就汲取力量。當他發(fā)起挑釁時，我們就犯錯誤。然而，我們情不自禁。他令人太無法容忍了。

Therein lies our deepest secret. We need Mr Trump just as he needs us. It is a ghastly symbiosis. Without Mr Trump, there would be no distraction. We might be forced to examine whether we live up to our own values. Do we love the highly educated? Do they deserve by virtue of credentials to be celebrated? Or should we revisit what we mean by a fair society? Answers sought by email or Twitter — but in correct English if you please.

我們隱藏得最深的秘密就在這里。我們需要特朗普，就像他需要我們一樣。這是一種可怕的共生關系。沒有特朗普，就沒有人將大家的注意力引開了。我們也許會被迫審視自己是否堅守了自己的價值觀。我們喜歡受教育程度高的人嗎?他們是否因為握有文憑而值得贊美?還是我們應該重新審視我們所說的公平社會?請通過電子郵件或推特把你的答案告訴我——但最好使用正確的英語。

[email protected] 譯者/何黎